2 juin 2023Do Finance Researchers Address Sample Size Issues? – A Bayesian Inquiry in the AI Era.Traditional #statistical and #algorithm-based methods used to analyze #bigdata often overlook small but significant evidence. #bayesian...
30 nov. 2022Risk, Ambiguity, and Misspecification: Decision Theory, Robust Control, and Statistics"We connect variational preferences with the likelihood functions and prior probabilities over parameters that are building blocks of...
11 mai 2022A Conditional One-Output Likelihood Formulation for Multitask Gaussian Processes"Experimental results over synthetic and real problems confirm the advantages of this inference approach in its ability to accurately...
13 avr. 2022Anytime-valid sequential testing for elicitable functionals via supermartingales"Using regret bounds from Online Convex Optimization, we obtain rigorous guarantees on the asymptotic power of the tests for a wide range...
9 mars 2022Detection and treatment of outliers for multivariate robust loss reserving"Traditional techniques for calculating outstanding claim liabilities such as the chain ladder are notoriously at risk of being distorted...