Elicitable functionals and consistent scoring functions aid in optimal forecasting but assume correct distributions, which is unrealistic. To address this, robust elicitable functionals account for small misspecifications using Kullback-Leibler divergence. These robust functionals maintain statistical properties and are applied in reinsurance and robust regression settings.
top of page
Rechercher
Posts récents
Voir tout“As analysts are primary recipients of these reports, we investigate whether and how analyst forecast properties have changed following...
This study proposes a new method for detecting insider trading. The method combines principal component analysis (PCA) with random forest...
Cyber risk classifications often fail in out-of-sample forecasting despite their in-sample fit. Dynamic, impact-based classifiers...
bottom of page
Comments