The paper examines non-linearities in how geopolitical risk (GPR) shocks affect the economy. Using a VARX model, it finds that large GPR shocks (above 4 standard deviations) significantly increase uncertainty, leading to precautionary saving and reduced consumption, with a more moderate impact on inflation due to conflicting demand and uncertainty effects.
This study investigates the factors affecting the #capitaladequacy of commercial #banks in #bangladesh using panel data from 28 banks over the period of 2013-2019. The study employs three analytical methods, including the Fixed Effect model, Random Effect model, and Pooled Ordinary Least Square (POLS) method, to analyze the Capital Adequacy Ratio (#car) and #tier1#capitalratio. The study finds that capital adequacy is significantly influenced by several factors, including #leverage, #liquidityrisk, #realgdp, net profit, size, and #inflation.
"We consider two possible approaches to the problem of incorporating explicit general (i.e. economic) #inflation in the #non_life [#insurance] #claims reserve estimates and in corresponding reserve SCR, defined - as in #solvencyii - under the one year view. The #actuarial approach provides a simplified solution to the problem, obtained under the assumption of deterministic #interestrates and absence of inflation risk premia."