The information value of past losses in operational risk

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"We show that past #operationalrisk losses are informative of future losses, even after controlling for a wide range of financial characteristics. We propose that the information provided by past losses results from their capturing hard-to-quantify factors such as the quality of operational risk controls, the #riskculture and the #riskappetite of the #bank."

Application of Deep Reinforcement Learning in Asset Liability Management

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This paper introduces the application of Deep Reinforcement Learning (#drl) in #alm, addressing limitations of traditional methods reliant on human judgement. The findings highlight the potential of DRL to enhance #riskmanagement outcomes for #insurers, #banks, #pensionfunds, and #assetmanagers, providing improved adaptability to changing market conditions.

Climate Risk Contagion of U.S. Banks

"We examine the impact of the U.S. withdrawal from the #parisagreement on the relationship between #climaterisk and #systemicrisk of #us #globalbanking. We find that after 2017, investors stopped pricing climate risk into U.S. systemic risk directly, consistent with domestic investors expecting climate risk #deregulation. However, climate risk still indirectly impacts the U.S. systemic risk through the internal capital markets of U.S. #global #banks operating abroad."

The Anatomy of Cyber Risk

"This paper employs #computational #linguistics to introduce a novel text-based measure of firm-level #cyberrisk exposure based on quarterly earnings conference calls of listed firms. Our quarterly measures are available for more than 13,000 firms from 85 countries over 2002-2021. ... The geography of cyber risk exposure is well approximated by a gravity model extended with cross-border portfolio flows. Back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that the global #cost of cyber risk is over $200 billion per year."