Nos derniers articles

This study employs an agent-based #model to explore how #climate shocks spread within #supplychains, linking #climateimpacts to firms' #default #risks. Integrating supply chain and financial models, it outlines a framework to simulate physical risk transmission, downstream effects, and increased default risk. Findings underscore supply chains' role in #climaterisk propagation, advocate adaptation measures, and identify vulnerable sectors. The research underscores the necessity of climate #resilience in supply chains.

"We examine the impact of the U.S. withdrawal from the #parisagreement on the relationship between #climaterisk and #systemicrisk of #us #globalbanking. We find that after 2017, investors stopped pricing climate risk into U.S. systemic risk directly, consistent with domestic investors expecting climate risk #deregulation. However, climate risk still indirectly impacts the U.S. systemic risk through the internal capital markets of U.S. #global #banks operating abroad."

#riskmanagement#geopoliticalrisk"The frequency of economic and #financialcrises is not increasing, but #politicalcrises can make #economiccrises more likely. The paper suggests that feedback between non-economic and economic crises can be important, but there is no comparable evidence for #climaterisk."

"From a #riskmanagement perspective, it is challenging to #model physical and #transitionrisks given the #uncertainty around #climaterisk drivers, such as changes in #governmentpolicy aimed at reducing #greenhousegasemissions, the pace of technological change, and uncertainty around the transmission channels. A dearth of in-house modeling tools and reliance on #thirdparty vendors also hamper #banks’ ability to properly understand and manage #risks. The most recent #boe climate biennial exploratory scenario (#cbes) noted that “banks varied in their ability to scrutinize and understand the strengths and weakness of third-party models, and adapt them appropriately to the CBES.” As a result, projected #losses for banks varied widely, suggesting a high degree of uncertainty about the magnitude of climate risks as well as a limited ability to accurately reflect such risks in business decisions."

#insurance#climaterisk"This paper discusses the relationship between the financial constraints faced by infrastructure assets due to #floodrisk exposure and their ability to finance adaptation to such #risks through internal resources. #risktransfer mechanisms such as #floodinsurance were shown to be a consistent channel leading to increases in #riskreduction through adaptation. "

This commentary discusses the role of #accounting in addressing #climaterisk and promoting #sustainabilityreporting. #regulators are pushing for climate risk #disclosure standards, focusing on #non_financial and forward-looking information.

This paper that explores the design of #climate#stresstests to assess #macroprudential#risks from #climatechange in the #financialsector. The authors review current climate stress #scenarios employed by #regulators, highlighting the need to consider dynamic policy choices, better understand feedback loops between climate change and the economy, and explore compound #riskscenarios. They argue that more research is needed to identify channels through which plausible scenarios can impact credit risks, incorporate #bank-lending responses to #climaterisk, assess the adequacy of climate #riskpricing in #financialmarkets, and better understand the process of expectations formation around the realizations of climate risks.

It highlights the increasing #regulatory focus on #climaterisk faced by #canada's #banks, both domestically through the #osfi and globally through the adoption of guidelines proposed by the #tcfd. As regulators seek to impose more #monitoring, #disclosure, and mitigation obligations on #financialinstitutions, the article raises whether banks' #capitalrequirements should be increased to reflect the #risks associated with #climatechange.

"Shocks to disaster costs seem to decrease all type of emissions significantly and also increase renewable energy use significantly. The occurrence of natural disasters increases the political disagreement among U.S. politicians, as well as, the climate policy uncertainty, highlighting the need for efficient policymaking and regulations. "

"We present a novel approach to quantify the uncertainty and sensitivity of risk estimates, using the CLIMADA open-source climate risk assessment platform. This work builds upon a recently developed extension of CLIMADA, which uses statistical modelling techniques to better quantify climate model ensemble uncertainty. Here, we further analyse the propagation of hazard, exposure and vulnerability uncertainties by varying a number of input factors based on a discrete, scientifically justified set of options."