21 résultats pour « climaterisk »

Analysis of New Models of Emerging Risk for Insurance Companies: The Climate Risk

"We aim to analyze strategies for assessing and managing new risks that affect the insurance industry, considering the regulatory requirements that the company must follow. To this end, the open-source software Climada was examined. This software uses stochastic forecasting models such as ARCH, GARCH, and ARIMA. Through real data obtained during an internship at E&Y, it was determined that these models can be a useful tool for insurance companies when dealing with extreme risks. This includes their exposure and solvency. Additionally, the study explores issues related to climate change"

Climate Risk, ESG Performance, and ESG Sentiment for U.S. Commercial Banks

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"Climate risk is positively associated with the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance of banks and negatively associated with the stakeholder ESG sentiment towards them. Negative sentiment due to such exposure is associated with worse financial performance and lower stock returns, but stronger ESG performance mitigates these adverse effects."

Estimating German Bank Climate Risk Exposure using the EU Emissions Trading System

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" We focus on German banks and measure their exposure to climate risk using CO2 emissions reported for German firms in the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS). ... Overall, our approach accounts for 61.25% of the German emissions covered under the EU ETS. We document that only 19 German banks concentrate 95.88% of the total CO2 emissions in their portfolios. "

The impact of climate transition risks on financial stability. A systemic risk approach.

"We find that default premium, yield slope and inflation are the main drivers of climate transition risk, and that, in terms of capital shortfall, the cost of rescuing more risk-exposed financial firms from climate transition losses is relatively manageable. Simulation of climate risks over a five-year period shows that disorderly transition can be expected to imply significant costs for banks, while financial services and real estate firms remain more sheltered."

A Stochastic Climate Model -- An approach to calibrate the Climate‑Extended Risk Model (CERM)

"These parameters can be calibrated using public data. This new approach means not only to evaluate climate risks without picking any specific scenario but also allows to fill the gap between current one year approach of regulatory and economic capital models and the necessarily long-term view of climate risks by designing a framework to evaluate the resulting credit loss on each step (typically yearly) of the transition path. This new approach could prove instrumental in the 2022 context of central banks weighing the pros and cons of a climate capital charge."